Paul Murphy

paul.murphy@ft.com

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Paul Murphy is the founding editor of FT Alphaville and an associate editor of the Financial Times. He joined the FT in London in 2006 as development editor of FT.com, concentrating on the expansion of the online business. Prior to that, he served as the Guardian’s financial editor for seven years. He has also held senior positions in business journalism at the Sunday Business newspaper and the Daily Telegraph. Murphy is a graduate of the London School of Economics.

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A uranium leak?

No, not the radioactive variety. The financial market type, instead.

Here’s the (illiquid) progress of uranium futures over recent months… Read more

Why the fund flow data should make you cautious

It’s a big theme: investors of all colours have reportedly been pouring money into equity funds of late. In fact, over the past week money has been flowing into stocks at the fastest rate since September 2007, according to EPFR.

Which should give all investors pause for thought. Read more

The great eurozone yield convergence

H/T to Martin Malone of Mint Partners for this vivid illustration of how the differential between “core” and periphery sovereign yields has tightened.

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REVEALED: dumb financial journalism, dumb corporate management, dumb financial regulation

We are going to lay the blame for this — right up front — on the idiotic Financial Markets and Services Act. (Or at least the utterly dumb implementation of such by Lord Sants and colleagues.) The “markets abuse regime” has led us to…where do we start?

Okay, with this chump: Read more

The vexatious VIX

What should we make of this? The CBOE VIX, the barometer of choice for those monitoring market volatility, dropped like a stone between Xmas and New Year. And the trend has continued in the days since…

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More miserable jobs numbers for Europe

You really do wonder how long this trend can be allowed to continue. From Eurostat on Tuesday…

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Financial punditry reportedly criminalised in Turkey

Bloomberg states that Turkey’s new Capital Markets Law, enacted at the turn of the year, promises harsh punishment for… Read more

A stock exchange crash, in Japan

It’s the first day of dealings in the new-fangled Japan Exchange Group following the slow-motion merger of the previously unlisted Tokyo Stock Exchange and the listed Osaka Securities Exchange, slated to create the world’s third largest bourse. And the first day has proved to be un-clever, with stock number 8697 down 9.42 per cent at the close in Japan… Read more

Spanish debt, quietly on the mend…

An unlikely beneficiary of the fiscal fudge, perhaps. Here’s Spanish 10 year paper, the yield on which was threatening to drop back below 5 per cent on Thursday. Read more

Ackman vs…Albright

Via John Hempton’s Bronte Capital…

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Euphoria in the banking sector

Amidst a general fiscal-fudge-relief-rally on Wednesday, one sector stood out…

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The Fiscal Fudge – early analysts’ reaction

You just knew it was coming: chaotic brinkmanship, followed by a half-baked compromise that sees substantially all contentious issues kicked off to another day. Last minute Congressional agreement over tax rises, simply offers up spending cuts and the debt ceiling as the next two crisis points for US legislators.

So it’s Rally Time, but only sort of. Asian stock markets were up sharply, but that was at last partly down to the latest positive PMI data from China. In London, the Footsie — much more of a barometer for the US — was up 1.5 per cent or so at pixel. Read more

Not what the Singaporeans ordered…

Here’s embattled agriculture combine Olam on Tuesday morning:

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Er, wot’s a CFD?

Don’t ask the SFO, or accountants Grant Thornton, for that matter.

Here’s a long, angry letter sent by the Vincent Tchenquiz camp some months ago to Grant Thornton, forming part of the furious legal dispute between the Tchenguiz Brothers and the SFO.

At the bottom of page 19 you’ll find a section headed “Sainsbury’s proceeds.” It is allegedly the case that when the financial cops pounced — acting on information from GT, who were handling the unwinding of Iceland’s Kaupthing — neither the SFO or GT really understood how the modern stock market works. Read more

It’s too early to call the FLS a flop, ok?

The Bank of England has published the first data from its new-fangled Funding for Lending Scheme. At first blush, the numbers look pathetic: net lending grew a paltry £500m in the three months to end-September, while total drawdowns from the FLS amounted to £4.5bn, against a potential pot of £100bn.

But that would be us jumping to conclusions, prematurely. As the Bank says: Read more

A Dutch auction for Greece…

Click for details.

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A sharp protest vote at Xstrata (but the deal goes on)

Maybe this was inevitable after the Qataris said they would approve Xstrata’s merger with Glenstrata, but would abstain on the retention bonuses. But the raw numbers of shareholders here saying payments to management were excessive suggest a very aggressive mood amongst institutions. Remember, this is a revised incentive scheme, where shareholders were supposed to have been listened to…

The result from Xstrata’s shareholder meeting on Tuesday… Read more

Bold AV call on Eurogroup discussion on Greece: No decision

There are so many aspects surrounding Greece’s ongoing refinancing needs still up in the air, it should come as no surprise that the agenda for Tuesday’s meeting of European finance ministers has reportedly been shrunk to addressing how an immediate €15bn gap can be bridged through to 2014. A further €17.6bn seemingly required to take the country through to 2016 can be discussed later. Read more

Glencore Xstrata is born, almost

Subject to the vote of Xstrata shareholders later on Tuesday, of course. And one or two regulatory hurdles remain. But while we wait for the XTA vote, here are the voting results of the Glencore shareholder’s meeting… Read more

Premier Foods’ brown bread plan

This is a euphemistic statement header, to say the least…

PREMIER FOODS ANNOUNCES FURTHER STEP TO BUILD VALUE IN BREAD Read more

Ocado moves into…central heating systems? [updated]

There’s a corporate finance wheeze known as a “cashbox”. It’s a way of getting around certain rules, regulations and conventions associated with being a London-listed stock.

NOTE — see the update at the bottom of this post, along with the comments. Read more

A Ruckus ruckus

The US initial public offering of a little wireless kit maker on Friday confirmed what everyone already knew: the IPO market is dead – or at least deadly dangerous.

Everyone knew this, except the lead underwriters of Ruckus Wireless – Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Deutsche bank. Read more

SFO: “Truly out of the norm”

Not a good day for financial cops. Hot on the heels of the FSA losing what it probably thought was a slam-dunk insider dealing case, the SFO has now received a withering “Judgement on Costs’ over its toe-curling execution of the Tchenguiz case.

The brothers get substantially all their legal bills paid. Here’s the judgement. Click to read. Read more

Jennings sells the rest of RenCap

Moscow-based financier Stephen Jennings is finally giving up control of Renaissance Capital, the investment bank he founded 17 years ago, to his Russian billionaire partner Mikhail Prokhorov.

More detail over at Beyond Brics. Read more

On Greek elephants

While Lagarde and Juncker go at it in the policymaker equivalent of hammer and tongs over timetables, there’s a risk here of people forgetting the numbers involved. Because they don’t add up.

Consider these two tables from David Mackie at JP Morgan. Click to enlarge. Read more

The growth of M&A litigation

You know the script here. X company announces that it is acquiring Y; a few days later news of a class action law suit ticks across the wires, typically alleging the directors have failed in their fiduciary duties in some manner; thereafter, silence…

Research by Robert Daines and Olga Koumrian at Cornerstone suggests that such litigation has become the norm since the onset of the financial crisis. Read more

Jersey Offshore, HSBC edition

Early viewers of what promises to be a trashy little mini-series with a stale mix of guns, drugs, sun-soaked beaches and tax cops, were left with one stand-out question on Friday:

Does HSBC really have just 4,388 Brits holding offshore accounts on this Channel island? Read more

About those new ‘Europa’ euro notes…

At Thursday’s ECB press conference, Mario Draghi unveiled plans to introduce a new series of euro bank notes. And there was a little video to accompany the news… Read more

Stuck in the UK, but want to escape finance?

Head to the East Midlands.

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Taking the ‘co-’ out of Morgan Stanley’s Kelleher…

Just out from MOST:

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) today announced that Paul J. Taubman, currently co-President of Institutional Securities, has informed Morgan Stanley of his decision to retire at year-end. Mr. Taubman will retire after a 30-year career at Morgan Stanley. Colm Kelleher, currently co-President of Institutional Securities with Mr. Taubman, will become President of Morgan Stanley’s Institutional Securities division effective January 2013. Mr. Kelleher will continue to report to Chairman and CEO James Gorman.

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@kim Snap!

www.kayamj.com

Comment on: Oh, Rio, Rio....

Interesting thinking LB

Comment on: The 6am Cut London

Hey, thanks to everyone for the feedback here and an especial thanks to Juris, who i think lands the hammer on the head of the nail here. Stop me if i am over simplifying, but..

VIX = fear of a rout, not volatility in an upward sense. case closed

Who can accurately model indicators that prices can go UP and down? If so, big opportunity awaits..

Comment on: The vexatious VIX

@ Dork of Cork -- v interesting theme. We should look further into the matter. Any guidance appreciated.

Comment on: Financial punditry reportedly criminalised in Turkey

No scene. It's an interesting set of minutes. I think it invites debate.

Comment on: FOMC minutes: hawkish hints, but not really

Actually Kris, I thought this was a rather calm, level-headed take from CG - certainly compared with a couple of jittery snap broker notes i was just reading. I don't think Obama/Cameron are "running" monetary policy. I think they are listening to appointed experts and hoping.

Comment on: FOMC minutes: hawkish hints, but not really

Interesting, thanks for the link KamEkon

Comment on: Er, wot's a CFD?

@KamEkon -- the detail of the trade is not disclosed in the letter -- just the fact that this was a CFD, while the cops seem to have assumed it was a holding of the underlying, worth 800m. It's not clear from this letter who the counterparty was so hedging situation unknown, just that Kaupthing were in some way financing the adventure...

Comment on: Er, wot's a CFD?

@shortcenterleftculture -- maybe, but 800m?? Worth going thru the full letter, linked above.

And thanks for the error-spotting.

Comment on: Er, wot's a CFD?

/B - the link is working for me. Should give you a fresh tab with just the table, full size.

Comment on: It's too early to call the FLS a flop, ok?